Bitcoin: Will Crisis Destroy Crypto?

Hello everyone! I am the founder of the Crypto Shaman project , whose goal is to predict the movements of the crypto market at distances of several days. In this article, I want to share some of my observations regarding cryptocurrency markets in the medium term. I have been doing cryptocurrency analytics since 2017, experienced various trends, I managed to calculate many trends perfectly.





The main purpose of this article is to draw attention to the things that I paid attention to. This article is not a typical analytics, the purpose of which is to dryly choose the direction of movement of a trading instrument. The reader must decide for himself whether to pay attention to this collected information or not.





Here is a first example of a calculated trend :





Here's a second example :





- , 3-5-7 , scalp swing . . . , , - .





flash crash-, 33%, ATH 50%, 30$ - 41$. ? to the moon, ? , ? ? ? , .





.





Bitcoin

50% , . 22 29$, ( Binance). . 31-33$ , . 42460$ 28688$ (Ice & Creek), .





SP+TSP , . Price Action, , 31-33$ , VSA, 22 27 . , :





:





36$, PoC , 40$. , , .





, , 40 . , , , . , .





. , .





? , , / . 49$ 57$ PoC.





:





- , , , , , JOC. , JOC + BTC, - . , ? .





, , , , , , .





S&P 500

. ? , . , . S&P 500 - , 505 , .





, .





, . . , , , , , , :





S&P 500 . , , , , Skew .





, S&P 500 , - . , , ? , .





S&P 500 BTC . 1950 , 5 , :





4 :





  • , .





  • , .





  • , , , .





  • , , , .





, , , , . , . S&P 500 ( ), , ( ), ( , ). 32 , 32, .





, , ? , , , ? - 1.6%, 32 1950.





? , .





, . , -80-95% (ATH) , , 48-55$. , , , , . S&P 500 , , , 98.4%.





, . , 2008-, , . 50% 24 , Bitmex. ? , 5$, , 100$, , 100$ , , . ? , Bitmex . Bitmex , . . , 10 -. . 2023 . ? .





, , , . . -, , , - . "" , "", , , "", .





"", , , , .





MicroStrategy

MicroStrategy - , 105 . btc . 26$. ( , ) 1 $. .





31-41$, 27 btc. 36$, , 132 btc, 27$. . , , 4-9$ , 4-5 . 1 $ 52$ (~19 btc), . 500 $ 37$, , 30$ , , 41$, :





- . (1 $) , 500 $ - . , 41$.





, Microstrategy , , , , - . - .





, MicroStrategy. IPO, . MicroStrategy. 60 , 25 $. , , , . , NCR Corporation Exchange Applications, MicroStrategy , , . Forbes, . PricewaterhouseCoopers . 20 2000 MicroStrategy 226$ 86$ . 1.75$, :





? . ? - .





, MicroStrategy . , , , , . , , . , , ( ). , ? .





, MicroStrategy ! , , , ? , , , , . MicroStrategy 20-15$ .





, . , . . , , GameStop, Melvin Capital. .





MicroStrategy. , , , "" , , "", , , "". -. , , "".





Tesla

1.5 $. 800 $ 33$, . 33$ , 45 btc. 10% . .





:





  1. Tesla 50$, .





  2. . .





, . - Tesla . , , .





, . , 5-9$, . , , \ ? , . , - . , . , , , . , , Tesla , 177 btc, , .





, , \ . , , dogecoin , - . - . , , - ( ) . Dogecoin - 2020-2021 . , , , , 100 . , , , . - , doge .





, , , , . , , , , Tesla ? , , , ? , ?





, , .





USDT & Tether Ltd.

, , Tether Ltd usdt. . , . , . , , , , Tether Ltd , . . , . , . Tether , , Tether , , Tether, , , . , , , Tether , , 100%, 75%, .





Deltec, Tether. , , usdt 100% , , , , 3\4 .





, Tether , 18 $, usdt , . ! , , . . btc usdt, $. , .





- . , , ? . . , , , - , , , . usdt:





, , :





  1. 40 usdt? 4 . 37$, 21 $. , 62 $, - ! 41 $ , , . , , , . , , . , - . - , .





  2. 23 ? 15 57$, 33 $. , . 5-10-15$ usdt , 23 ( ) - ! ?





  3. USDT ? , , , .





  4. . +\- , 4 ? , , Tether ? , 4 , "" .





    Tether Ltd, , !?





Coinbase

Coinbase - , , . Circle Coinbase - usdc.





usdc , usdt. usdc Coinbase , , :





  • . usdc 4 ! , 15 usdc? , , usdt - "" . , usdt, , . usdc:





  • IPO. IPO. , . . , 13% .





    Coinbase 1 $ - , .





    - , 50%, 35% , :





  • 14 IPO, 23 usdt. , IPO ! .





  • , , SHIB. , , , , . , , shib.





- . , coinbase , , - usdc. , .





, . 33%, Ethereum () ~60% . .





, 50 . ? ? 70-100-200 ? ?





Ethereum:





: . , .





, , . , .





.





2017 , 20$ . ICO, , , . , . . , , ICO, , . , . ICO 80 99% .





? . , . ! . . : Tesla, MicroStrategy, Apple, Microsoft - , Tesla 28 , .





, . - . ? . GRAM Telegram . , , . . , .





. , - . , 100-200-300$. , , . , , MicroStrategy . . , 50 , 10 500 .





, 1.6%. , , , 15-20$ , . 500-1000$ , . , . . ( ), . , .





CBDC. , . , . ? CBDC.





, TUSD, PAX. .





:





. 45-57$ . . , . , , , , , .





, Crypto Shaman, .





, , Shaman.






Disclaimer: . .





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P.S. , , 1-2$ . . 45-55$ , - , , . . , - 12 , , .





PPS For those readers who actively dislik and try to negative in comments in every possible way. Guys, I am sincerely sorry for you, the fact that you have lost a lot of money in the crypt, or are now sitting in a losing position, does not mean that the collected facts in the article are only "prediction", "guessing", and so on. I devoted a small part of the article to the technical analysis itself at the beginning, the rest of the content is an analysis of the situation in the world of cryptocurrencies. Before putting a dislike, think about whether this is caused by resentment from the content mismatch and your personal expectations, or you really see specific flaws in the proposed analyzes.








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