ACS - automated control systems.
AS - understandable. These are your favorite CRMs, 1Ski, Warehouse, Cashier, Accounting, Salary and Personnel and other programs.
What is management?
If quite primitive, then
Control is the process of moving a certain Object from point A to point B. Where A is the current position, B is the target point (Target).It is obvious that the transition between the same points under different conditions (contexts) is carried out by different methods. For example: moving around the city in rain, snow, summer, winter, traffic jams - these are completely different ways and modes of driving a car or even a helicopter. Or maybe ... the subway?
As you already understand, a point can have a multidimensional coordinate (or a state vector) in a certain space (not necessarily 3D).
If we talk about an enterprise, then the state vector can be thousands of thousands of parameters (measurements) - both target and current. Most of the measurements are closely interconnected, according to formulas, one metric can be expressed through another. This can be used to simplify / reduce vector or find distortions in data collection, control. There is also an error vector, noise, forward and feedback.
Parameters can be as follows: the number of manufactured or sold products, monthly turnover, stock balances (and in the context of each Nomenclature), average salary, hourly rate, advertising costs, scrap percentage, net profit (and all parameters can be reduced to her) and many others.
Now let's think ...
Which of your programs fall under the previously mentioned definition of control?
Let me tell you a terrible secret!
At our factories, basically, there are ordinary databases or, as we and our colleagues call them, "stuffing".
Yes. There is a set of algorithms that reduce the number of data entry errors so that there is no distortion in the information, but nothing more.
There are even analytical reports that show summary (summarize) information for a certain period of time and (or) in other sections.
- And where, in fact, is the management here? Where is the definition of the current state?
- There is a profit and loss statement, accounts receivable, finished goods, sales funnel.
- Let's say. To what extent do they reflect reality? Where is the goal setting?
- Hmm. H'm. Uh.
- Where are the functions / algorithms for achieving goals (management)? Where are the functions for forming these algorithms?
Dead silence in the hall. "Catharsis". The curtain.
OK. I'll give in. Management, ideally, is the most accurate prediction of the situation.
How can THIS be done?
Based on experience (for this there are “stuffing” - they store facts, perform the function of memory), we “play” the situation into the future. Sellers are familiar with the concept of "seasonality" and actively use it.
There are also many rules of thumb that are studied in universities and accumulated with life experience. Many rules can be clearly expressed through IF-THEN. This allows mathematical modeling or forecasting.
In production (often) there are planning and dispatching systems - they can already be attributed to management, since
Planning = ForecastingGenerally large corporations are engaged in advanced analytics and forecasting, having "in service" with large computing power, huge amounts of accumulated information, a staff of specialists and special software. This software is available online and is often free. The main thing is to understand what it is for and how to use it.
And if we talk about "power" - today for $ 1000 you can buy a computer that produces a trillion (10 ^ 12) operations per second. Not enough already. (I'm talking about the GPU - for example, about "gaming"). For me, it is quite affordable even for an ordinary individual entrepreneur.
This computing power is enough to calculate the balance sheet, taxes, salaries, profits of a store with a nomenclature of 10-50 thousand units within a minute. And if this is done with different parameters, then we get an economic modeling - a forecast.
24 * 60 = 1440 options for the future of the company per day
It is clear that forecasts and reality often do not coincide, because there are other players in the market and many influencing factors - obstacles. Can't we take them into account? Fit into state vectors?
And do it as often as possible. Receive prompt feedback. In fact, we are driving along the serpentine with tremendous speed, slowly blinking our eyes.
Where are the mechanisms of action in your ACU? (Direct link)
If the car has no steering wheel and no brakes, you won't get far. Let's say that we will not introduce robots into a store or a factory.
How correctly and conveniently does your system display the required information? It is desirable to be adequate to the current context. Is it convenient to enter information?
How quickly and efficiently does your ACU adapt to the situation, changes in legislation, force majeure, world politics, change / addition of equipment? How resistant is your system to such influences? How ... controllable is she?
Typically, a cybernetic system is rebuilt by software engineers and (or) laid down for the future (predicted) possible variants of algorithms.
A cyber system that rebuilds itself (preferably faster / more efficiently than programmers) is called AI.What is she rebuilding?
Correctly. Algorithms, control functions to achieve goals. And she sets the goals herself.
How does she do it "herself"? This is already a conversation about what Intellect is. And, as you already understood,
Management is an intelligent processThe reaction to the situation, especially if the forecasting system was mistaken for one reason or another (for example, due to its absence), should be as fast as possible. Otherwise, having run over a bump, you may end up in a ditch. In terms of management, this is a Catastrophe.
How fast is your ACU? What is its Power?
Of course, such a situation (catastrophe) is best avoided by predicting it or receiving timely (in advance) feedback. It would also not hurt to have a set of various algorithms / mechanisms / techniques that can be used in a particular crisis situation.
Event - Prediction - Reaction - Purpose - Adjustment - Algorithm
Competent application of all the above functions increases the precision of control, makes the control of jewelry art. Art for the intellect.
Effective management is the transition from reflection to forecastingAre your ASU weak?